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December 2006

December 20, 2006

Stop Sylvia Browne

I thought I should publicize Rob Lancaster’s new site, Stop Sylvia Browne. You may remember Rob is the driving force behind Stop Kaz, and now Kaz has apparently if not “stopped”, at least slowed down, Rob has turned his attentions to Sylvia.

Of course, actually stopping the juggernaut that is the Sylvia Browne Corporation might not be possible, but the site is nevertheless a great first stop for all skeptical information on Sylvia. The links alone are worth checking out, but he also has multiple articles and links to videos of Sylvia’s numerous blunders. If you have any information yourself, or want to write an article, I’m sure Rob would be pleased to hear from you.

December 09, 2006

Allison Dubois no help in catching killer

According to this CNN report, Phoenix police believe they have captured the “Baseline Killer”:

Police said Thursday they have caught the Baseline Killer, the gunman responsible for nine slayings that spread terror across the Phoenix area for nearly a year.

Police Chief Jack Harris said investigators are recommending that Mark Goudeau, a 42-year-old construction worker who has been in jail since September, be charged with 71 counts, including nine murders -- most of them random shootings committed on the street at night.

Of course, Goudeau has not faced trial yet and deserves the presumption of innocence until proven guilty. Still, we can say two things for sure, namely:

  1. The police believe they have a strong case against him, and
  2. Celebrity Phoenix “psychic” Allison Dubois had nothing to do with catching this man. In fact, the CNN report cites “a tip from the public”, not psychic powers, as leading them to Goudeau.

Not that Dubois didn’t try to make a preemptive strike. As I wrote in July, Dubois made several vague guesses (excuse me, gave psychic impressions) about the killer, none of which were of any use, and most (as far as I can tell), were completely wrong. For example:

Dubois said: “the Baseline Killer is not from Arizona”

But: “Goudeau was born Sept. 6, 1964… and grew up in a Phoenix neighborhood near 12th Street and Southern Avenue.

Last time I looked, Phoenix was in Arizona. Dubois 0 for 1.

Dubois said: “he's ready to bolt, if he hasn't already… I would look in California if I were [the police]”

But: Goudeau was caught in Phoenix.

Of course, Dubois didn’t say anything so definite or falsifiable as “he has moved to California”. She phrased it so that wherever he was found her “impression” would fit. However, it would seem unlikely for this married man with family connections in Phoenix to run to California. In any case, Dubois’ “information” about him being “ready to bolt” was clearly wrong and of no use to the police. Dubois 0 for 2.

Dubois said: “He didn't have a father in the household.”

But: Older brother Oscar told The Republic that their upbringing was uneventful, at times idyllic. There was no violence in the house growing up, he said, although he admitted that their father was a strict disciplinarian.

Dubois 0 for 3.  Admittedly the report says his parents divorced, but the above comment directly contradicts there being no father around when he was growing up. And that’s doubly true when we look at the next of Dubois’ “impressions”:

Dubois said: “He had a mother he didn't respect but that he, on a strange level, loved and is a little protective of when somebody says something about his mother. It's a love-hate which he has for her… “

But: “An older brother said [Goudeau’s Mother] died in 1976, when Goudeau was 12…”

Dubois missed his Mother dying when he was a child. Dubois 0 for 4. This is my favorite:

Dubois said: “I see [the killer] tucking his hair up in his hat to hide his hair."

But CNN says: “Police have said the killer… wore disguises, which included a wig of dreadlocks and a fisherman's hat.”

Storyvertbaseline See the picture – not much hair to tuck up into his hat. Of course, he could have recently cut it, but I’m going to bet he always wears his hair this short. I could be wrong, but I have a very strong feeling I’m not. (Call it a psychic impression if you like.) Now, I’m sure Dubois wouldn’t have read the reports of the dreadlocks and the hat, and tried to make her psychic impressions fit this description, oh no. She used psychic powers, I’m sure. But she was still wrong and still no help to the police. Dubois 0 for 5.

Dubois said: “[The killer] was in and out of juvenile (detention) as he was growing up.

But: although Goudeau has been in jail, trouble didn’t begin for Goudeau until “1982, when he was 18. He and one of his brothers were accused of raping a young woman.”

So no juvenile trouble at all – nothing until he was 18. Dubois saw nothing of his adult crimes or the 13 years he spent in adult jail. More completely wrong and worse than useless information from Dubois. Dubois 0 for 6.

Did she get anything right? Well, she did say the killer knew the area well and that his luck would run out. Whoopie doo!

Now might be a good time to remind everyone of the TV program “Medium”, which features a character called Allison Dubois who lives in Phoenix and solves crimes every week using psychic powers. I watched this program a few times (as a service to my readers – so you won’t have to), and I can report that this TV “Allison Dubois” not only sees exact names and/or faces of people involved in crimes, exact locations of evidence (for example – exactly where a gun was hidden), but also has conversations with dead people – including, at times, murder victims. And I’m talking complete sentences – questions asked and answered in detail. None of this “I’m getting a J connection” drivel you see on Larry King. Did I say she solves crimes each week that would otherwise have been unsolved, using only her psychic powers? I did?

I must stress again that police do sometimes arrest the wrong person and that Mark Goudeau should be considered innocent of all these crimes until proven guilty. I just ask you to remember the above analysis of what Dubois said compared with the actuality, when and if Dubois ever claims that her lame “impressions” were right, and whenever you read of her repeated claims that she helps the police solve crimes. One thing I do know – if Goudeau was innocent of these crimes, the TV “Allison Dubois” would quickly prove him innocent and lead police to the real killer. Over to you, real Allison Dubois.

Other reading:

The Two Percent Company’s Allison Dubois week.

CSICOP on How Not to Test Mediums.

September 8, 2007 – Update

Goudeau found guilty on 19 counts of sexual assault. 

December 08, 2006

49th Skeptics’ Circle

The 49th Skeptics' Circle has just been posted at Autism Street. Click the link for the best skeptical blogging from the last two weeks. 

A great presentation this week - go directly here for the PubSkep papers summary

Other Links

Recommended Books and DVDs